Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
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Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
With only five days until the deadline and no credible military or diplomatic moves toward a takeover, the market prices a full Iranian loss of control over Kharg Island as virtually impossible, despite earlier strategic chatter about seizing Iranian islands.
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
The market heavily discounts any change in Iranian control of Kharg Island by August 31, with odds declining further in the past week, reflecting a lack of credible military or diplomatic moves toward a takeover despite escalating rhetoric.
Yes ≈ 6% chance
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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