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World prediction markets & live odds — page 71 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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World prediction markets

Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.

🔭 Compare world odds across venues →

All Date Threshold Markets 6396 Climate & weather 5162 Geopolitics & conflict 1672 US Election Margins 412 Health 332 Global Political Shifts 321 Commodities & energy 266 Daily Crypto Predictions 93 Fable 5 Access 59 Country Presidents 26 Esports CS2 Events 6 Discord IPO Valuation 3

1,852 markets · page 71 of 78

Manifold· Play

Open

Will China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ15 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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‹ Prev1…6970717273…78Next ›

Will China ZOC (zirconium oxychloride) price exceed 5500 USD/t on June 30, 2027?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ15 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

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Will Ukraine suffer nuclear power plant meltdowns during the Russia war?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts6mo

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Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030

Yes69¢

No31¢

Yes ≈ 69% chance

Ɱ4.3K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ9.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 2500 USD/t on September 30, 2026?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ15 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

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Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran nuke Israel?

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Ɱ3.4K Vol▲ 0pts4y

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WIll Ukraine become a Civ7/6/5 civ by EOY2030?

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Ɱ20 Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Will China take any part of Russian territory for its own within the next 3 years?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ3.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will Israel attack Iraq in 2033?

Yes53¢

No47¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

Ɱ52 Vol▲ 0pts7y

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Will the worlds installed power generation from nuclear sources in 2025 be more than 3000 TWh ?

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ538 Vol▲ 0pts1mo

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Will any of the following western countries go to war with each other before 2030?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ704 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will the US attack a NATO country before Russia does?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Ɱ430 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Russia agree to a peace treaty that gives Ukraine control of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk before 2100?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

Ɱ600 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2039?

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

Ɱ53 Vol▲ 0pts13y

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Will Israel recognize a state of Palestine before Ukraine recognizes Crimea as part of Russia?

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

Ɱ92 Vol▲ 0pts2y

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[Metaculus] Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ17.5K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will China August 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ15 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

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Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

Ɱ154 Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Will China get AGI first?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ2.8K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Iran be a democracy in 2030?

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Ɱ2.5K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will a new Republic of China/Taiwan "government in exile" be formed by EOY2035?

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

Ɱ763 Vol▲ 0pts9y

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Will internal armed conflict in Myanmar end before 2030?

Yes74¢

No26¢

Yes ≈ 74% chance

Ɱ482 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will the People’s Republic of China switch to a ‘launch on warning’ nuclear posture by 2028?

Yes41¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Ɱ27 Vol▲ 0pts1y