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Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

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World prediction markets & live odds — page 7 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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World prediction markets

Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.

🔭 Compare world odds across venues →

All Date Threshold Markets 6387 Climate & weather 5165 Geopolitics & conflict 1663 US Election Margins 412 Health 324 Global Political Shifts 319 Commodities & energy 264 Daily Crypto Predictions 84 Fable 5 Access 59 Country Presidents 26 Esports CS2 Events 6 Discord IPO Valuation 3

969 markets · page 7 of 41

Polymarket

Open

Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 4, 2026?

Yes9¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$380 Vol▼ 5pts9d

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…56789…41Next ›

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 89.00 USD/Bbl on July 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $89.00

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

$2.6K Vol▼ 19pts1d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Torus energy storage be acquired by the end of 2027?

Yes51¢

No49¢

Yes ≈ 51% chance

Ɱ2 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 5, 2026?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$402 Vol▼ 1pts10d

Kalshi

Open

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 92.50 USD/Bbl on July 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $92.50

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$3.2K Vol▼ 18pts1d

Manifold· Play

Open

By the year 2030, renewable energy sources will account for more than 50% of the world's total energy consumption.

当前14%的Yes概率表明市场认为，距离2030年仅剩不到四年，全球可再生能源消费占比从当前约20%翻倍至50%以上几乎不可行，因为中国和英国等关键经济体的结构性障碍正在新闻中反复出现。

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ356 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 7, 2026?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$441 Vol▲ 1pts12d

Kalshi

Open

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 93.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 27, 2026? — Above $93.99

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$3.2K Vol▼ 4pts1d

Polymarket

Open

Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 9, 2026?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

$431 Vol▲ 1pts14d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will gold still be worth at least $100 per ounce at the end of 2035?

The market is pricing near-certainty that gold will stay above $100/oz through 2035—a trivial threshold given that gold has traded above $100 for over 50 years and currently sits around $2,000, even after a 19% drop.

Yes89¢

No11¢

Yes ≈ 89% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts9y

Kalshi

Open

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 97.50 USD/Bbl on July 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $97.50

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$2.3K Vol▲ 0pts1d

Polymarket

Open

Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 10, 2026?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$298 Vol▼ 0pts15d

Manifold· Play

Open

US battery energy storage doubles over 2025–2029?

The market is pricing near-certainty that US battery storage capacity will double between 2025 and 2029, driven by a flurry of corporate expansions and a technological breakthrough—not by federal policy alone.

Yes84¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

Ɱ151 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 84.99 USD/Bbl on July 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $84.99

Yes70¢

No30¢

Yes ≈ 70% chance

$13.5K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 11, 2026?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$1.1K Vol▲ 0pts16d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 5 tonnes in 2026?

The market's 41% odds reflect skepticism about scaling samarium oxide production at White Mesa beyond a minimal 5-tonne threshold in 2026, given no recent operational updates or demand catalysts. The real story is that without new headlines, the base rate for such niche rare-earth production is low.

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Ɱ20 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 92.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 27, 2026? — Above $92.49

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$3K Vol▲ 3pts1d

Polymarket

Open

Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 12, 2026?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$280 Vol▲ 2pts17d

Manifold· Play

Open

China cap on copper smelting by EOY 2026?

The market sees a low probability of China capping copper smelting by end of 2026, likely reflecting skepticism that Beijing will enforce binding production limits despite its stated decarbonization goals.

Yes32¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

Ɱ651 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98.99 USD/Bbl on July 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $98.99

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$12K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 14, 2026?

Yes13¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$239 Vol▼ 1pts19d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will IMO 2026 have exactly 20 gold medalists?

The market sees a near-zero probability of exactly 20 gold medalists, which is consistent with the historical variability of IMO gold counts and the fact that the number is determined by score cutoffs, not a fixed quota.

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Ɱ2.1K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Kalshi

Open

Will the gold close price be above 4065 USD/t.oz on July 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $4065

Yes53¢

No47¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

$2.7K Vol▲ 2pts1d

Polymarket

Open

Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 16, 2026?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$1.2K Vol▼ 0pts21d