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World prediction markets & live odds — page 6 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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World prediction markets

Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.

🔭 Compare world odds across venues →

All Date Threshold Markets 6388 Climate & weather 5124 Geopolitics & conflict 1666 US Election Margins 412 Health 325 Global Political Shifts 321 Commodities & energy 264 Daily Crypto Predictions 86 Fable 5 Access 59 Country Presidents 26 Esports CS2 Events 6 Discord IPO Valuation 3

25,883 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 6 of 417

Kalshi

Open

Lowest temperature in Oklahoma City on Jul 26, 2026?

73° to 74°99¢

6 outcomes

$11.6K Vol▲ 94pts17h

Futuur

Open

How many patients will be treated under right-to-try in Montana within 2026?

‹ Prev1…45678…417Next ›

市场高度集中在前两名区间（1-20和101+），但两者概率仅差1个百分点，表明对实际使用量存在巨大分歧；最大近期变化是长寿公司推动蒙大拿成为生物黑客中心的报道（WSJ, 2025-08-03）抬高了高区间预期，但随后医院心脏项目失败的新闻（Montana Free Press, 2026-06-10）又压制了治疗能力预期。

1-2034¢

4 outcomes

$48 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Limitless

Open

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

$2.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Standalone Twilight Princess HD on Switch 2 before market close?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ6.5K Vol▲ 0pts7d

Kalshi

Open

Highest temperature in Houston on Jul 26, 2026?

94° to 95°45¢

6 outcomes

$10.8K Vol▲ 20pts17h

Futuur

Open

How many clinical trials will have started in Prospera by Dec 31, 2026?

The market is heavily concentrated on the 3-5 and 1-2 trial buckets, with 84% probability combined, reflecting concrete near-term trial announcements rather than speculative growth; the single biggest recent shift was the Natera-Eledon strategic partnership (Jun 25), which added a planned Phase 3 kidney transplant trial, making the 3-5 outcome the clear front-runner.

3-548¢

4 outcomes

$26 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$567K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Limitless

Open

Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

$2.3K Vol▼ 3pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

U.S. military or CIA kinetic action against Brazil before end of 2027?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ19.6K Vol▼ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight? — Tariff

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$10.7K Vol▲ 0pts14d

Futuur

Open

How many biotech companies will have physical operations in Prospera by Dec 31, 2026?

The market is highly concentrated on 6-10 companies, but no recent headlines directly address biotech operations in Prospera, making the consensus a bet on moderate organic growth rather than a specific catalyst.

6-1074¢

4 outcomes

$22 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$49.2K Vol▲ 3pts2mo

Limitless

Open

Veera FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

$2.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will "The Odyssey" gross >$1 billion worldwide?

Yes96¢

No4¢

Yes ≈ 96% chance

Ɱ6.1K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 87.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 27, 2026? — Above $87.49

Yes39¢

No61¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

$12.2K Vol▼ 12pts1d

Futuur

Open

How many of the negotiating chapters required to join the EU will Montenegro have closed at the end of 2026?

The field is moderately concentrated on the 23–27 range (37%) and 18–22 range (33%), reflecting steady but not yet rapid progress; the single biggest recent shift likely came from the June 15 closure of two chapters (Balkan Insight, Jun 15), which boosted confidence in the upper middle range.

Between 23 and 27 (inclusive)37¢

5 outcomes

$18 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Limitless

Open

StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$2.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will I ever fall sleep before midnight during PROMYS?

Yes92¢

No8¢

Yes ≈ 92% chance

Ɱ1.2K Vol▲ 0pts13d

Kalshi

Open

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 88.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 27, 2026? — Above $88.99

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$13.9K Vol▼ 16pts1d

Polymarket

Open

Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$56.5K Vol▼ 0pts1mo

Futuur

Open

Number of Central Bank Digital Coins (CBDC) in the world at the end of 2026

Despite recent pushes in Nigeria and India, the market heavily favors 3 or fewer CBDCs globally by year-end, implying that large-scale launches beyond existing ones are unlikely within six months.

3 or less45¢

4 outcomes

$12 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Limitless

Open

Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

$2.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 26, 2026?

63° to 64°98¢

6 outcomes

$9.5K Vol▲ 24pts16h

Manifold· Play

Open

Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ139K Vol▲ 0pts5mo