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Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

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World prediction markets & live odds — page 5 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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World prediction markets

Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.

🔭 Compare world odds across venues →

All Date Threshold Markets 6381 Climate & weather 5169 Geopolitics & conflict 1650 US Election Margins 412 Global Political Shifts 317 Health 304 Commodities & energy 262 Daily Crypto Predictions 83 Fable 5 Access 58 Country Presidents 26 Esports CS2 Events 6 Discord IPO Valuation 3

3,450 markets · page 5 of 144

Manifold· Play

Open

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Ɱ9.6K Vol▲ 0pts6y

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…34567…144Next ›

Highest temperature in Washington DC on Jul 26, 2026?

85° to 86°57¢

6 outcomes

$4.2K Vol▼ 2pts19h

Polymarket

Open

Highest temperature in Helsinki on July 26?

19°C40¢

11 outcomes

$37.4K Vol▲ 16pts2h

Kalshi

Open

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 26, 2026?

75° to 76°51¢

6 outcomes

$4.2K Vol▼ 7pts20h

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a new 'Highest Air Temperature on Earth' record be set this decade

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

Ɱ23.8K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Highest temperature in Ankara on July 27?

28°C36¢

11 outcomes

$30.6K Vol▲ 7pts1d

Kalshi

Open

Highest temperature in Boston on Jul 26, 2026?

73° or below64¢

6 outcomes

$4.1K Vol▼ 5pts19h

Manifold· Play

Open

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2037?

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts10y

Polymarket

Open

Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 27?

34°C42¢

11 outcomes

$28.7K Vol▲ 11pts1d

Kalshi

Open

Highest temperature in San Antonio on Jul 26, 2026?

96° to 97°47¢

6 outcomes

$4.1K Vol▲ 3pts20h

Manifold· Play

Open

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2030?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Highest temperature in Chicago on July 26?

90-91°F31¢

11 outcomes

$31.8K Vol▼ 2pts2h

Kalshi

Open

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?

The field is highly concentrated on the next name in the alphabetically rotating list, but the odds are not purely mechanical—they reflect the timing of the first storm (Arthur) and the fact that the second storm (Bertha) has already passed, leaving Cristobal as the next unused name; the biggest recent shift was the collapse of Bertha's probability after it was used, which funneled nearly all weight to Cristobal.

Cristobal50¢

21 outcomes

$306K Vol▲ 0pts4mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the climate heat up more than 3.5°C before 2050?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ285 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 26?

21°C67¢

11 outcomes

$31.5K Vol▲ 41pts2h

Kalshi

Open

Lowest temperature in Atlanta on Jul 26, 2026?

73° to 74°76¢

6 outcomes

$3.5K Vol▲ 3pts19h

Manifold· Play

Open

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2040?

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

Ɱ12.7K Vol▲ 0pts13y

Polymarket

Open

Highest temperature in Dallas on July 26?

100-101°F56¢

11 outcomes

$29.2K Vol▲ 14pts2h

Kalshi

Open

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Central Pacific this year?

Pena98¢

32 outcomes

$35.8K Vol▲ 0pts4mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be a mag-lev train using ambient-temperature superconductivity by Jan 1st 2030?

Yes17¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

Ɱ398 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 27?

27°C or below23¢

11 outcomes

$28.8K Vol▲ 11pts1d

ForecastEx

Open

Los Angeles Daily Temperature High (77)

Yes84¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

1.8K Vol▲ 0pts22h

Kalshi

Open

Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 26, 2026?

79° to 80°26¢

6 outcomes

$3.4K Vol▼ 24pts19h

Manifold· Play

Open

Will human civilisation collapse due to climate change before 2040?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ1.4K Vol▲ 0pts12y