World prediction markets

Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.

All Date Threshold Markets 6386 Climate & weather 5165 Geopolitics & conflict 1662 US Election Margins 412 Health 320 Global Political Shifts 318 Commodities & energy 264 Daily Crypto Predictions 88 Fable 5 Access 59 Country Presidents 26 Esports CS2 Events 6 Discord IPO Valuation 3

374 markets · page 3 of 16

Kalshi

Open

Will Shas be a part of the next government in Israel?

Shas's odds of joining the next government are low because its spiritual leader is openly signaling a break with Netanyahu and exploring a centrist alliance, while the party's aggressive anti-court rhetoric may alienate potential coalition partners.

Yes39¢

No61¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

$70 Vol 0pts1y

World prediction markets

Will Shas be a part of the next government in Israel?

Will China's total Eu exports for 14 months ending July 2026 exceed 25000 kg?

Yisrael Beiteinu

[Long Bet 22 clone (unchallenged prediction)] By 2100 world government controls business, environmental law & WMD

Will The Democrats be a part of the next government in Israel?

Neros Technologies

Macron leads EU before 2040?

Will the EU meet its climate goals? — By 2030

No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2028

Will a country leave the EU by 2030? — By 2030

No new countries join the European Union (EU) in the 2030s

Will any country join the EU by 2030? — Any country

Will anywhere in the US, UK, Canada, or EU mandate car kill switches that can be used by law enforcement before 2030?

Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada before the next general election? — Before the next general election

Will "Chat control" legislation be implemented in the EU by 2030?

Will the option in Alberta’s 2026 referendum asking whether the Government of Alberta should commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether Alberta should separate from Canada pass?

Will any of Ford, GM, Stellantis be bailed out by the US Government by EOY 2026

Will the number of Iowa races won by the Democratic Party among IA-01, IA-02, IA-03, the U.S. Senate seat, and the Governorship during the November 3, 2026 general election be exactly 5?

Will any agency downgrade the US government's credit rating to AA- or lower before the end of 2030?

Will France vote to leave the EU before 2030?

Will Peter Daszak serve time in the US, UK or EU for his professional global health work before 2040

Will Germany vote to leave the EU before 2030?

Republicans win democratically and then end democracy swiftly, satisfying militiants and quelling uprisings; civil war is avoided, but democracy becomes an empty shell and no part of the federal government regains democratic control by 2028

Will Hungary vote to leave the EU before 2030?