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World prediction markets & live odds — page 3 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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World prediction markets

Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.

🔭 Compare world odds across venues →

All Date Threshold Markets 6382 Climate & weather 5178 Geopolitics & conflict 1651 US Election Margins 412 Global Political Shifts 317 Health 309 Commodities & energy 262 Daily Crypto Predictions 85 Fable 5 Access 59 Country Presidents 26 Esports CS2 Events 6 Discord IPO Valuation 3

97 markets · page 3 of 5

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Ada Nguyen's Glycanage be higher than her chronological age?

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

Ɱ5 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

‹ Prev12345Next ›

Open

Will the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ316 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

RTX 5090 production delayed or interrupted by military conflict in Taiwan.

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ3.9K Vol▲ 0pts11mo

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Open

Will Meta Threads still be around in 2028?

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ594 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ185 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ10.9K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

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Open

Will meta announce Its shutting down its metaverse by the end of 2026?

Yes44¢

No56¢

Yes ≈ 44% chance

Ɱ8.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

Will Meta sell/divest from Instagram before 2028?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

Ɱ211 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Open

Will the US start construction of a surface combatant with standard displacement 25k ton or higher before 2030?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ271 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Open

Given that LK-99 is a rt/ap superconductor, will its average market price in 2028 be below $5,000.00 / metric ton?

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

Ɱ308 Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Open

Now Meta buys Sega Sammy on 2034!

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

Ɱ190 Vol▲ 0pts8y

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Open

Will there be a "DOGE Dividend," even if it is actually just mislabelled stimulus, by the 2026 midterms?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ11.6K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

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Open

Will the Seattle Link rail system exist as planned by EoY 2042

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ564 Vol▲ 0pts16y

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Open

Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ317 Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Open

Will Lockheed Martin deliver more than 190 F-35 aircraft in 2027?

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

Ɱ80 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Open

Will Meta buy Keen?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

Ɱ76 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Open

Will the Meta's Metaverse be the mainstream way for businesses to hold work meetings by 2027?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ6.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Open

Which Twitter-like social media platform will be most popular at the end of 2026?

Other76¢

7 outcomes

Ɱ20.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

Will Meta release a smartwatch in 2026?

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

Ɱ103 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

A Musk company brings back at least a metric ton of non-Earth material

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ633 Vol▲ 0pts7y

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Open

Will Meta (Facebook) deliver on it's web3/metaverse vision before 2030?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ585 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Open

Will DOGE moon by 2030?

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

Ɱ594 Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Open

Will Meta's metaverse have ≥100 million monthly active users on Dec 31, 2033?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

Ɱ343 Vol▲ 0pts7y

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Open

Will "Meditations on Doge" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ13 Vol▲ 0pts6mo