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Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

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World prediction markets & live odds — page 3 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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World prediction markets

Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.

🔭 Compare world odds across venues →

All Date Threshold Markets 6382 Climate & weather 5174 Geopolitics & conflict 1651 US Election Margins 412 Global Political Shifts 317 Health 309 Commodities & energy 262 Daily Crypto Predictions 85 Fable 5 Access 59 Country Presidents 26 Esports CS2 Events 6 Discord IPO Valuation 3

957 markets · page 3 of 40

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the United States confiscate privately owned gold collections before 2035?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ823 Vol▲ 0pts8y

Kalshi

Open

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Will the brent crude oil close price be above 90.50 USD/Bbl on July 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $90.50

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

$4.5K Vol▼ 4pts1d

Polymarket

Open

Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 30, 2026?

Yes11¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$1.2K Vol▼ 2pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Eu2O3 output exceed 500 kg in 6 months ending March 2027?

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ171 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 97.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 27, 2026? — Above $97.99

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$5.9K Vol▲ 0pts1d

Polymarket

Open

Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of July?

31-3338¢

7 outcomes

$11.5K Vol▲ 3pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Are we running out of oil in 2063

The market heavily favors 'No' at 82%, but recent headlines suggest short-term supply disruptions are driving a narrative of scarcity, not long-term depletion by 2063, which is the actual question.

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ153 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 27, 2026? — Above $89.49

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

$6.6K Vol▲ 0pts1d

Polymarket

Open

Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?

Despite diplomatic talk earlier in 2026 about European allies joining efforts to secure the Strait of Hormuz, the Netherlands and other European nations have explicitly rejected military involvement, and no recent headlines indicate a policy shift, making a Dutch warship transit before July 31 extremely unlikely.

Yes0¢

No100¢

Yes ≈ 0% chance

$90.9K Vol5d

Kalshi

Open

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 27, 2026? — Above $90.99

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

$8.8K Vol▼ 4pts1d

Manifold· Play

Open

Global peak oil consumption will be reached before the end of 2030.

The market strongly believes peak oil consumption will occur by 2030, driven by IEA warnings of critically low stockpiles and multiple claims that demand has already peaked, but the theory remains contested and the timeline uncertain.

Yes73¢

No27¢

Yes ≈ 73% chance

Ɱ1.7K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Polymarket

Open

Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 21, 2026?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$1.4K Vol▲ 2pts26d

Kalshi

Open

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 89.50 USD/Bbl on July 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $89.50

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

$5.4K Vol▼ 3pts1d

Polymarket

Open

Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 29, 2026?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$404 Vol▲ 5pts3d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Switzerland vote to allow usage of nuclear energy again?

Switzerland's nuclear revival is now more likely than not after parliament reopened the door, but a launched referendum campaign and historical voter caution keep the outcome uncertain.

Yes71¢

No29¢

Yes ≈ 71% chance

Ɱ1K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

$3.1K Vol▲ 5pts15d

Polymarket

Open

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Despite Iraq's explicit threat to leave OPEC if its quota isn't raised, the market assigns only a 12% probability to any member following the UAE's exit this year, reflecting doubts that Iraq's warning is a genuine exit plan rather than a negotiating tactic.

Yes12¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$158K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the sale of new gas cars be illegal in Virginia in 2035?

Virginia's 2035 gas-car ban is a state-level policy that depends on both federal regulatory stability and state legislative follow-through, with recent legal and political headwinds making the 'No' position the market favorite.

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

Ɱ98 Vol▲ 0pts9y

Kalshi

Open

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 86.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 27, 2026? — Above $86.49

Yes63¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

$7.8K Vol▼ 4pts1d

Polymarket

Open

Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 25, 2026?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$1.6K Vol▲ 3pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Silver production from Fresnillo PLC for 2026 exceed 50 million ounces on December 31, 2027?

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

Ɱ195 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98.50 USD/Bbl on July 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $98.50

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$3.9K Vol▲ 0pts1d

Polymarket

Open

Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 1, 2026?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$1.8K Vol▲ 3pts6d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will cold fusion be a functional source of energy by 2050?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts—