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World prediction markets & live odds — page 270 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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World prediction markets

Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.

🔭 Compare world odds across venues →

All Date Threshold Markets 6386 Climate & weather 5165 Geopolitics & conflict 1662 US Election Margins 412 Health 320 Global Political Shifts 318 Commodities & energy 264 Daily Crypto Predictions 88 Fable 5 Access 59 Country Presidents 26 Esports CS2 Events 6 Discord IPO Valuation 3

6,483 markets · page 270 of 271

Manifold· Play

Open

US state adopts shortest splitline algorithm for redistricting before 2030?

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Ɱ259 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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‹ Prev1…268269270271Next ›

Military/National Guard deployed to a US university campus in response to protests before January 2027

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ106 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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100 military deaths in a conflict between Israel and Turkey before 2030?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ4.6K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will more than a gram of non-radioactive gold be produced from mercury by 2030?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Will Wales leave the UK by 2030?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ4.4K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will an attention tax be issued by Brazil's government before 2030?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ879 Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Throughout the 2028 presidental debates, will Ukraine be mentioned more times than Taiwan?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ260 Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Bougainville an independent country by 2028?

Yes58¢

No42¢

Yes ≈ 58% chance

Ɱ539 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Platypus considered threatened by IUCN before 2030?

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

Ɱ35 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will London Breed run for public office in 2025-2030?

Yes73¢

No27¢

Yes ≈ 73% chance

Ɱ115 Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Will the Bilt Mastercard Remain Stable Through 2030?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Annual wealth tax in any US state or federally before 2031?

Yes35¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

Ɱ42 Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Will psilocybin be legal to sell in SF by 2030?

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ582 Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Will David Steiner still be the Postmaster General of the USPS on January 1, 2030?

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

Ɱ88 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will the animal rights movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?

Yes76¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

Ɱ3.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will BeamNG Drive have a full release before January 1st, 2028?

Yes67¢

No33¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

Ɱ23 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will any car drive itself from the Empire State Building to the Golden Gate Bridge before April 2028?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ1.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will Arizona Iced Tea’s signature “Big Can” be priced $0.99 at the end of 2029?

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Ɱ20 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Bing's market share passes 10% by 2030 (it's 3.4% as of 12/22)

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ744 Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 100 USD/kg on December 31, 2027?

Yes56¢

No44¢

Yes ≈ 56% chance

Ɱ36 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will the United States regulate cryptocurrency due to its use in upcoming war before the end of 2027

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

Ɱ138 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Republicans win democratically and then end democracy swiftly, satisfying militiants and quelling uprisings; civil war is avoided, but democracy becomes an empty shell and no part of the federal government regains democratic control by 2028

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ2.5K Vol▲ 0pts8y

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Will ZeroPath (YC S24) be inactive by 2028 (excl. acquisition)?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ4.1K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will Sm2Co17 sintered magnet (Western) commercial price exceed 300 USD/kg on December 31, 2027?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ15 Vol▲ 0pts1y