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1,838 markets · page 14 of 77
Yes ≈ 26% chance
Yes ≈ 10% chance
Japan is actively testing and planning nuclear hydrogen production, with a pilot at 900°C and a commercial plant in Aomori, but the 2031 deadline hinges on scaling from demonstration to full operation amid regulatory and cost hurdles.
Yes ≈ 61% chance
Yes ≈ 67% chance
Yes ≈ 3% chance
Yes ≈ 42% chance
Yes ≈ 10% chance
Yes ≈ 5% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 57% chance
Yes ≈ 15% chance
Yes ≈ 43% chance
Yes ≈ 60% chance
Yes ≈ 57% chance
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Yes ≈ 29% chance
Yes ≈ 35% chance
The market slightly favors United Russia not gaining seats, reflecting a rare bet against the Kremlin's electoral machine, driven by a recent comparison to Orbán's 2022 loss and a historical trend of declining seat share despite fraud allegations.
Yes ≈ 44% chance
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Yes ≈ 29% chance