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World prediction markets & live odds — page 13 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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World prediction markets

Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.

🔭 Compare world odds across venues →

All Date Threshold Markets 6386 Climate & weather 5165 Geopolitics & conflict 1662 US Election Margins 412 Health 320 Global Political Shifts 318 Commodities & energy 264 Daily Crypto Predictions 88 Fable 5 Access 59 Country Presidents 26 Esports CS2 Events 6 Discord IPO Valuation 3

325 markets · page 13 of 14

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1 before 2030?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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‹ Prev1…11121314Next ›

Open

If a market creator who is well-known in the real world resolves a market in a way that they believe to be correct, but Manifold admins believe to be incorrect, will they treat that market differently from the markets of non-famous users?

Yes32¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

Ɱ146 Vol▲ 0pts13y

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Open

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ582 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

Will Bing diagnose Parkinson's disease in the EU on May 1 2035?

Yes91¢

No9¢

Yes ≈ 91% chance

Ɱ268 Vol▲ 0pts8y

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Open

Does any pathogen (virus, bacteria, prion, etc.) cause Alzheimer's disease?

Yes68¢

No32¢

Yes ≈ 68% chance

Ɱ1.9K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Open

Will WHO classify the current hantavirus outbreak as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by end of 2026?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ4.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

Will tariff refunds be given out to a majority who paid them?

Yes61¢

No39¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

Ɱ3.5K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Open

Biological test for early detection of Parkinson's Disease by 2028

Yes95¢

No5¢

Yes ≈ 95% chance

Ɱ3.2K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Open

Universal Coronavirus Vaccine released in the US by 2030?

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ318 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Open

Who will be the final villain in one piece

Imu60¢

7 outcomes

Ɱ14.4K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Open

Will any human who was never in a human womb reach 1 year of age before 2032?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ3.5K Vol▲ 0pts5y

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Open

Will the Russian cancer vaccine work?

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

Ɱ3.1K Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Open

Will we discover a novel pathogen that causes disease and originates from the Moon before the end of 2070?

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ919 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Open

Who is Stronger Mihawk or Shanks

Hawkeye64¢

2 outcomes

Ɱ7.5K Vol▲ 0pts10mo

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If Rootclaim loses their bet with Steve Kirsch over COVID-19 vaccine deaths, will they pay the money?

Yes97¢

No3¢

Yes ≈ 97% chance

Ɱ394 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Open

Will there be a consensus amongst scholars and historians as to who orchestrated JFK's assassination by 2030?

Yes58¢

No42¢

Yes ≈ 58% chance

Ɱ791 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Open

Will any actors from Doctor Who be cryopreserved before October 2034?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ303 Vol▲ 0pts8y

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Open

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against lymphoblastic leukemia before 2028?

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

Ɱ55 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Open

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be available by the end of 2032?

Yes72¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

Ɱ362 Vol▲ 0pts6y

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Open

Will an engineered pathogen cause a pandemic before 2030?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ1.9K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will Jose Luis Ricon have a daughter who becomes obsessed with longevity?

Yes44¢

No56¢

Yes ≈ 44% chance

Ɱ7 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will the next pandemic be overall worse than covid-19 in absolute, global terms?

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ161 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Open

Will LLMs estimate a probability over 60% that the origin of COVID was a lab leak in 2034?

Yes39¢

No61¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts7y

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Open

Has anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in vampirism?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo