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Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

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World prediction markets & live odds — page 12 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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World prediction markets

Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.

🔭 Compare world odds across venues →

All Date Threshold Markets 6395 Climate & weather 5151 Geopolitics & conflict 1671 US Election Margins 412 Health 332 Global Political Shifts 321 Commodities & energy 266 Daily Crypto Predictions 84 Fable 5 Access 59 Country Presidents 26 Esports CS2 Events 6 Discord IPO Valuation 3

337 markets · page 12 of 15

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the median maternal age at first birth decrease again after it's increase during COVID, by the end of 2026?

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

Ɱ50 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

‹ Prev1…101112131415Next ›

Open

Will an engineered virus cause a pandemic before 2035?

Yes33¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

Ɱ147 Vol▲ 0pts9y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any type of herpes simplex infection before 2028?

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

Ɱ1.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the cop who shot Nahel M. be found guilty of homicide?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ5.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against prostate adenocarcinoma before 2028?

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Ɱ11 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen occur before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ7K Vol▲ 0pts6y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be the next Chair of the Federal Reserve?

Kevin Warsh99¢

18 outcomes

Ɱ9.5K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will survive Danganronpa 2x2?

Mikan Tsumiki80¢

16 outcomes

Ɱ13K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the CDC create a Biosafety Level 5 Category before 2040?

Yes62¢

No39¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

Ɱ47 Vol▲ 0pts13y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2026 than 2025?

Yes100¢

No0¢

Yes ≈ 100% chance

Ɱ3.9K Vol▲ 0pts6mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Prime editor engineered virus-like particles (PE-eVLPs) to get human cells to generate ANY plasma protein exists by 2028

Yes52¢

No48¢

Yes ≈ 52% chance

Ɱ5 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against Lyme disease before 2028?

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Ɱ258 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

WIll answers from top LLMs about COVID origins be stable in 2034?

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Ɱ62 Vol▲ 0pts7y

Manifold· Play

Open

New pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket]

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ8.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will anyone who admitted to a crime on Manifold have it used as evidence against them in a court case before 2028?

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

Ɱ305 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

By the start of 2027, will there be >=1 students attending Proof School who first heard about it on Manifold Markets?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ190 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Do people who have a "fake" favorite color mog more?

Yes67¢

No33¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

Ɱ265 Vol▲ 0pts4d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will I bring someone onto Manifold Markets who creates 100 questions by August 28, 2028 (8/28/28)?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ44 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any type of human papillomavirus infection before 2028?

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ30 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will "Humanity Learned Almost Nothing From COVID-19" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ117 Vol▲ 0pts6mo

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Will there be another pandemic-related stay-at-home order in the US before EoY 2026?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will the ICE agents who shot Alex Pretti be charged in any federal court?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ855 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Aella gets engaged to a polyamorous partner who wants kids and has higher income/wealth?

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Manifold· Play

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TRUE or FALSE: "The US government has ruled that COVID-19 most likely came from a Lab Leak"

Yes56¢

No44¢

Yes ≈ 56% chance

Ɱ75 Vol▲ 0pts13y