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World prediction markets & live odds — page 11 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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World prediction markets

Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.

🔭 Compare world odds across venues →

All Date Threshold Markets 6395 Climate & weather 5151 Geopolitics & conflict 1671 US Election Margins 412 Health 332 Global Political Shifts 321 Commodities & energy 266 Daily Crypto Predictions 84 Fable 5 Access 59 Country Presidents 26 Esports CS2 Events 6 Discord IPO Valuation 3

337 markets · page 11 of 15

Manifold· Play

Open

If the COVID lab leak market resolves YES, will it be controversial?

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Ɱ1.9K Vol▲ 0pts14y

Manifold· Play

‹ Prev1…910111213…15Next ›

Open

Will the CDC recommend the flu vaccine for the majority of Americans for the 2035 flu season?

Yes87¢

No13¢

Yes ≈ 87% chance

Ɱ97 Vol▲ 0pts9y

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Open

During the year 2027, will China implement a pandemic lockdown in a Tier 1 city comparable to 2022's lockdown?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ334 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will LLMs estimate a probability over 40% that the origin of COVID was a lab leak in 2034?

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts7y

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Open

Who will win the war in Ukraine?

Russia partial win83¢

6 outcomes

Ɱ4.8K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Open

Will the WHO Global Air Quality Guidelines set stricter recommendations for PM2.5 and PM10 air pollution before 2030?

Yes69¢

No31¢

Yes ≈ 69% chance

Ɱ519 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Open

Standing US Government official at the NIH admits in a video that COVID likely escaped from WIV any time through 2026

Yes81¢

No19¢

Yes ≈ 81% chance

Ɱ397 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

Will WHO/IARC designate aspartame as probably carcinogenic or carcinogenic within the next ten years?

Yes32¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

Ɱ100 Vol▲ 0pts7y

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Open

When will Isaac King's "Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?" market resolve?

Before the end of 20265¢

12 outcomes

Ɱ7.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

Will there be a successful human trial of a vaccine for rheumatoid arthritis by the end of 2028?

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

Ɱ95 Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Open

Who will be the next world number 1 in chess?

Other14¢

13 outcomes

Ɱ9.9K Vol▲ 0pts13y

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Open

Was COVID a "mass disabling event"?

Yes85¢

No15¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

Ɱ865 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Open

Will Austin Shaw (https://twitter.com/replicationer) - who works for Skyline Celestial - become a Thiel Fellow in the next 6 years?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ380 Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Open

In 2030 will long-lasting side effects in over 30% of the US be linked to the Moderna AND Pfizer COVID vaccinations?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ1.7K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Open

Will another pandemic occur under Donald Trumps Presidency?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ2.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Open

Did pharma's trade network reorganize more than agriculture's under COVID? (H3-P, 2017→2022)

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

Ɱ27 Vol▲ 0pts1mo

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Open

Bird flu H5N1 outbreak in Australia in 2025 or 2026?

Yes71¢

No29¢

Yes ≈ 71% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

HIV Vaccine fully approved by FDA and commercially available before 2035?

Yes38¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

Ɱ30 Vol▲ 0pts8y

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Will an Avian Influenza Virus in Humans be Declared a PHEIC before 2030? [Metaculus]

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

Ɱ40 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Open

Scientists or influencers outside China have been paid by the CCP to advocate for a natural origin of Covid 19.

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

Ɱ532 Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Open

Was Covid-19 an intentional bioweapon release?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ2.3K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will at least one human be cured of a prion disease by EOY 2045?

Yes78¢

No22¢

Yes ≈ 78% chance

Ɱ9.6K Vol▲ 0pts19y

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Open

Who is actually stronger Shanks or Mihawk?

This is a pure binary contest between two legendary rivals, with Mihawk's slight edge driven by recent fan rankings that downplay Shanks's Haki supremacy, yet the gap remains narrow because no definitive canonical evidence has settled the debate.

Mihawk57¢

2 outcomes

Ɱ66.8K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Open

Will the WHO achieve its goal to eradicate malaria in 30 countries by 2030?

Yes36¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ487 Vol▲ 0pts3y