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World prediction markets & live odds — page 10 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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World prediction markets

Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.

🔭 Compare world odds across venues →

All Date Threshold Markets 6381 Climate & weather 5169 Geopolitics & conflict 1650 US Election Margins 412 Global Political Shifts 317 Health 304 Commodities & energy 262 Daily Crypto Predictions 83 Fable 5 Access 58 Country Presidents 26 Esports CS2 Events 6 Discord IPO Valuation 3

1,831 markets · page 10 of 77

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US, China, Russia, Europe) before 2028?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ2.8K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…89101112…77Next ›

Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$5K Vol▼ 1pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will There be a Civil War or Violent Revolution in USA by 2030?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ6.4K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Polymarket

Open

Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?

Yes73¢

No27¢

Yes ≈ 73% chance

$919 Vol▼ 10pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2027?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ2.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?

Yes23¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

$17.3K Vol▲ 2pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the USA be given control of the Gaza Strip by the end of 2026?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ49.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 27?

25-4933¢

5 outcomes

$559 Vol▼ 9pts7d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Lure Hsu survive China's takeover of Taiwan (if it happens)? [for at least 1 year after]

Yes52¢

No48¢

Yes ≈ 52% chance

Ɱ2 Vol▲ 0pts14y

Polymarket

Open

Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?

Yes37¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

$40.5K Vol▼ 5pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

In case of a war with Iran before 2050, will Saudi Arabia runs out of water for its population?

Yes68¢

No32¢

Yes ≈ 68% chance

Ɱ178 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$15.6K Vol▼ 3pts4d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will we see a nuclear weapon used to attack another country within the next decade?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ876 Vol▲ 0pts8y

Polymarket

Open

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Mojtaba Khamenei's continued absence from public view, including his father's funeral, signals a potential power struggle or security concerns within Iran's leadership, making a public sighting before July 31 highly unlikely despite the regime's need to project stability.

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$1.8M Vol▲ 0pts4d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a nuclear pulse propulsion system be tested by 2040?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ1.8K Vol▲ 0pts13y

Polymarket

Open

Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$15.1K Vol▼ 2pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Israel be banned before Eurovision Song Contest 2027 happens?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ111 Vol▲ 0pts9mo

Polymarket

Open

Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$2.8K Vol▼ 6pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will China's total Eu exports for June 2025–July 2026 exceed 220000 kg?

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ171 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?

Yes53¢

No48¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

$11.8K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Australia remove the ban on nuclear power by 2028 ?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ5.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$39.3K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?

Yes32¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

Ɱ18.8K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$21.6K Vol▼ 0pts5d