Culture prediction markets
Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.
1,583 markets · page 5 of 66
Will Spotify remain the most popular music streaming platform in the US at the end of 2029?
Yes ≈ 22% chance
Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.
1,583 markets · page 5 of 66
Yes ≈ 22% chance
Yes ≈ 26% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 34% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Despite Hatsune Miku's recent technological leaps and sustained global fandom, the market remains skeptical about a Grammy win, reflecting the Recording Academy's historical reluctance to honor virtual artists, but the possibility of a technical or engineering category win keeps the odds competitive.
Yes ≈ 47% chance
Yes ≈ 3% chance
Yes ≈ 45% chance
Yes ≈ 75% chance
Yes ≈ 7% chance
Despite the one-year anniversary of her debut album and a high-profile collaboration with Madonna, the lack of an official album announcement keeps the odds low at 31%, suggesting the market expects a 2026 release to be unlikely.
Yes ≈ 31% chance
Yes ≈ 2% chance
Yes ≈ 37% chance
Yes ≈ 29% chance
Yes ≈ 16% chance
Yes ≈ 27% chance
Yes ≈ 38% chance
Yes ≈ 63% chance
Yes ≈ 86% chance
Phoebe Bridgers has effectively confirmed her next album, 'Lost Weekend,' through a new single, tour branding, and a detailed guide, making a release by 2027 a near-certainty — the remaining 2% No reflects only the lack of an official announcement or release date.
Yes ≈ 98% chance
Yes ≈ 4% chance