Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.
708 markets · page 4 of 30
Yes ≈ 98% chance
Negreanu's recent Fantasy League win shows he's still a top player, but the WSOP Main Event is a high-variance marathon that has eluded him for decades, and his age works against the 11% odds.
Yes ≈ 11% chance
Yes ≈ 86% chance
Yes ≈ 68% chance
Yes ≈ 4% chance
Yes ≈ 45% chance
6 outcomes
Yes ≈ 95% chance
Yes ≈ 6% chance
6 outcomes
2 outcomes
The market is betting against a Manifold movie largely because the name 'Manifold' is currently tied to a BP scandal, not a film franchise, and the broader Indian film industry is in financial distress, making a speculative biopic or adaptation unlikely within 20 years.
Yes ≈ 40% chance
9 outcomes
Yes ≈ 26% chance
7 outcomes
Yes ≈ 98% chance
Yes ≈ 6% chance
Yes ≈ 54% chance
Yes ≈ 31% chance
Yes ≈ 34% chance
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance