Will Taylor Swift appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?
🗂 Part of event: Who will appear on stage in Hall H at SD Comic-Con 2026? →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 0% chance — almost no chance.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 0% right now.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
San Diego Comic-Con 2026 is currently scheduled for July 22-26, 2026, at the San Diego Convention Center, with programming in Hall H running July 23-25, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual appears on stage in Hall H at SDCC 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Appearing on stage is defined as being physically present on the Hall H stage. A prerecorded video message, an appearance via live video or hologram, or an appearance anywhere else at the convention (e.g. other panel rooms, the exhibit hall, offsite events, or surprise drop-ins outside Hall H) will not qualify. An appearance will only qualify if it takes place on one of the calendar days of San Diego Comic-Con 2026, PT. If no qualifying appearance has occurred by the end of San Diego Comic-Con 2026 or August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT, whichever passes earlier, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official communication channels of San Diego Comic-Con and/or the participating studios; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
Are people in the US getting dumber?
The 70% odds that Americans are getting dumber reflect a media-driven narrative linking AI tool use to cognitive decline, but the evidence is mostly anecdotal and lacks rigorous longitudinal data, making the market more a bet on cultural perception than on measurable intelligence.
Yes ≈ 70% chance
Highest box office-grossing movie in 2026 (US/Canada Domestic)
Despite The Odyssey's record-breaking $84M+ second weekend (Deadline, Jul 25), the market overwhelmingly favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 67%, suggesting a belief that franchise familiarity and pre-release hype will outweigh current box office surprises.
7 outcomes
Spider-Man: Brand New Day Tomatometer 92%+ on July 31, 2026.
The market expects Spider-Man: Brand New Day to fall short of a 92% Tomatometer score, with the 'Below 92%' option commanding 69% despite recent positive buzz from cast interviews suggesting a strong fan reception; the single biggest recent shift is a 1-point drop in the Yes (≥92%) probability over 24 hours, potentially reflecting skepticism after mixed reviews for other Marvel projects like 'The Punisher: One Last Kill' (Rotten Tomatoes, May 12).
2 outcomes
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
The market is essentially flat with both listed candidates at 0% odds, but the biggest recent shift is the record-breaking performance of Christopher Nolan’s ‘The Odyssey’ in late July, which is not a market candidate — creating a glaring mismatch between box office reality and trader sentiment.
2 outcomes
Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)
5 outcomes