Culture prediction markets
Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.
1,581 markets · page 3 of 66
#1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Aug 1, 2026?
28 outcomes
Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.
1,581 markets · page 3 of 66
28 outcomes
34 outcomes
The market heavily favors a new Kanye album in 2026, but the real story is that he already released 'Bully' in March, so the question hinges on whether a second album qualifies under the market's definition—a nuance the odds may be overpricing.
Yes ≈ 81% chance
Yes ≈ 15% chance
This market hinges on whether anyone will bother to produce a 3-minute music video about an obscure individual, Jose Luis Ricon, by year-end; the near-even odds reflect pure speculation with no concrete evidence either way.
Yes ≈ 46% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 43% chance
Taylor Swift's 2026 album sales odds are surprisingly low given her historic 2025 performance, suggesting the market doubts she will release a new album this year or that competition will be unusually strong.
Yes ≈ 33% chance
Yes ≈ 13% chance
Yes ≈ 6% chance
Yes ≈ 26% chance
Yes ≈ 57% chance
Yes ≈ 88% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 24% chance
Yes ≈ 2% chance
Yes ≈ 41% chance
Yes ≈ 4% chance
Yes ≈ 11% chance
Yes ≈ 34% chance