Ariana Grande 'Petal' First Week Album Sales?
🗂 Part of event: Ariana Grande 'Petal' First Week Album Sales? →Tap a candidate to show/hide its line · double-tap to isolate
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: 350k+ at about a 44% chance.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
Ariana Grande's new album 'Petal' is expected to release July 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Ariana Grande's album 'Petal', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Petal' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
Highest box office-grossing movie in 2026 (US/Canada Domestic)
7 outcomes
Spider-Man: Brand New Day Tomatometer 92%+ on July 31, 2026.
2 outcomes
Will the documentary, "Instadocs: The prediction market games" be available on Netflix in July?
Yes ≈ 93% chance