Culture prediction markets
Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.
719 markets · page 22 of 30
Will Boyd Holbrook perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film?
Yes ≈ 17% chance
Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.
719 markets · page 22 of 30
Yes ≈ 17% chance
Yes ≈ 59% chance
Yes ≈ 16% chance
Yes ≈ 5% chance
Yes ≈ 24% chance
Yes ≈ 11% chance
Spotify's 60% odds reflect a strong incumbency advantage, but the real story is the growing buzz around niche, indie, and value-focused alternatives that could erode its lead by 2027.
Yes ≈ 60% chance
Yes ≈ 11% chance
Yes ≈ 31% chance
Yes ≈ 13% chance
Yes ≈ 31% chance
Yes ≈ 11% chance
Yes ≈ 18% chance
Yes ≈ 10% chance
Yes ≈ 21% chance
Yes ≈ 16% chance
The market is skeptical that HFR (high frame rate, e.g. 48fps or higher) will win an Oscar before 2030, partly because the technology has been commercially and critically rejected in the past, but a surprise comeback by a past HFR flop suggests the format isn't dead yet.
Yes ≈ 39% chance
Yes ≈ 4% chance
Yes ≈ 6% chance
Yes ≈ 13% chance