Will Lily James perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 10% chance — very unlikely.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 10% right now.
Summary
The market asks whether Lily James will be a principal female character (referred to as a 'Bond girl') in the next James Bond film, with current odds heavily favoring No at 90%. The next Bond film casting remains unconfirmed, with many factors influencing the outcome.
How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
If Lily James performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.