Bitcoin, Ethereum, and token price and protocol questions, aggregated as live odds across venues.
332 markets · page 5 of 14
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 26% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance
The 10% odds reflect a market that sees Ethereum as far from its $4,000 target, with the price struggling near $1,972 and needing a roughly 100% gain in five months, despite bullish long-term analyst targets of $15,000-$24,000.
Yes ≈ 10% chance
Yes ≈ 11% chance
Yes ≈ 9% chance
Yes ≈ 2% chance
Yes ≈ 100% chance
Yes ≈ 90% chance
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Despite Ethereum trading well above $1,000, the 12% Yes odds reflect persistent fear from headlines about panic selling and geopolitical dips, but the high bar of a single 1-minute candle hitting $1,000 by end of 2026 makes a No resolution the strong baseline.
Yes ≈ 12% chance
The market is pricing a near-zero chance of Ethereum hitting $1,100 in July because the price has held above $1,500 through recent geopolitical and sell-off events, and a 30%+ crash in the remaining three weeks would require an unprecedented black swan.
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Yes ≈ 2% chance
Yes ≈ 4% chance