Bitcoin, Ethereum, and token price and protocol questions, aggregated as live odds across venues.
4,423 markets · page 184 of 185
Yes ≈ 2% chance
Yes ≈ 16% chance
Yes ≈ 15% chance
Yes ≈ 11% chance
The market is pricing a near-certain No (99%) for Reya's FDV exceeding $1B one day after launch, reflecting deep skepticism that the token will launch at all or achieve such a high valuation given the absence of any recent positive developments.
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 13% chance
Yes ≈ 14% chance
Yes ≈ 20% chance
Yes ≈ 8% chance
Despite Polymarket's surging overall revenue, the market heavily doubts Based's cumulative revenue will reach $4M by year-end, implying Based is a minor or separate entity not benefiting proportionally from Polymarket's growth.
Yes ≈ 4% chance
Polymarket's overall revenue has surged past $1B annualized (CryptoRank, Jul 6), yet the market for Based reaching a mere $5M cumulative revenue by year-end remains at 94% No, implying Based is a negligible fraction of Polymarket's volume with little sign of catching up.
Yes ≈ 4% chance
Yes ≈ 45% chance
Yes ≈ 11% chance
The market heavily discounts Variational reaching a $5B FDV one day after its token launch, reflecting skepticism that a relatively early-stage derivatives DEX can command such a high valuation immediately, despite a recent $50M raise and airdrop hype.
Yes ≈ 3% chance
The market strongly doubts Ethereum gas will average 10 Gwei by 2027, even as record on-chain activity and rock-bottom fees create a contradictory backdrop: no clear catalyst has recently shifted the odds, which sit far from the all-time-low fee environment.
Yes ≈ 9% chance
Despite record on-chain activity, Ethereum gas fees have hit all-time lows due to scaling solutions, making a sustained spike to 15 Gwei by end of 2026 unlikely unless a major disruption shifts demand back to L1.
Yes ≈ 13% chance
The market heavily favors 'No' at 94% because recent data shows Ethereum transaction fees hitting all-time lows even as on-chain activity surges, making a sustained jump to 20 Gwei unlikely before 2027.
Yes ≈ 6% chance
Yes ≈ 5% chance
Ethereum transaction fees have hit all-time lows despite record on-chain activity (Crypto Briefing, May 23), signaling a structural shift where L2 scaling suppresses L1 gas prices; the market is pricing near-zero chance of a sustained average of 40 Gwei by end of 2026.
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 4% chance