Bitcoin, Ethereum, and token price and protocol questions, aggregated as live odds across venues.
570 markets · page 15 of 24
Yes ≈ 10% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 53% chance
Yes ≈ 7% chance
The market heavily discounts Bitcoin reaching $110k by year-end 2026, despite recent bullish headlines and a slight uptick in odds, because the price needs to nearly double from its current ~$65k level in a short timeframe and faces a concrete options ceiling near $70k that could cap momentum.
Yes ≈ 8% chance
10 outcomes
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Despite bullish predictions from Bernstein and Saylor, the market is overwhelmingly skeptical that Bitcoin will reach $150k in 2026, reflecting a persistent correction and consolidation that has eroded confidence in a near-term breakout.
Yes ≈ 4% chance
Despite a headline calling a 50% dip the 'shallowest on record,' the market gives near-zero probability to Bitcoin hitting $5,000 by end-2026, implying traders see that level as a catastrophic tail risk rather than a normal correction.
Yes ≈ 2% chance
Yes ≈ 4% chance
The market assigns a 93% probability that Bitcoin will not dip to $30,000 by end of 2026, reflecting strong institutional accumulation and resilient price action above $64,000 despite recent rejections, but the 8% Yes odds capture tail risks from repeated technical resistance and weakening spot demand.
Yes ≈ 8% chance
Yes ≈ 8% chance
The market overwhelmingly bets against Bitcoin tripling to $190k by year-end, reflecting the extreme distance from current prices and the lack of a near-term catalyst that could drive a 3x+ rally in five months, despite recent headlines about institutional adoption and miner contracts.
Yes ≈ 2% chance
Yes ≈ 66% chance
Yes ≈ 57% chance