Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

🗂 Part of event: Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 →

1¢Yes

1% 0 pts all-time

Yes

1¢

99¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 1% chance — almost no chance.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 1% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesOct 31, 2026 · 3mo

Total volume$565K

24h volume$8.7K

Liquidity

Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Optimistic oracleSettled by UMA's optimistic oracle

Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.

⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.

Closes Oct 31, 2026 (3mo)

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Polymarket ↗