Set 1 Winner: Shimabukuro vs Pacheco
🗂 Part of event: Los Cabos Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Rodrigo Pacheco →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 71% chance — likely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 71% right now.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Rodrigo Pacheco in the Los Cabos Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Shimabukuro” if Sho Shimabukuro wins the first set. It will resolve to “Pacheco” if Rodrigo Pacheco wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
3M Open Winner
Jackson Koivun commands an unusually high 54% probability for a PGA Tour event, but the 1-point dip in the last 24 hours hints at shifting money, and recent headlines focus entirely on the British Open victory by Ryan Fox (AP News, Jul 24), offering no clear catalyst for that movement or for Koivun's lead itself.
66 outcomes
F1: Who will win the 2026 AWS Hungarian Grand Prix?
8 outcomes
Ben Kohles vs The Field
Despite Ben Kohles holding a two-shot lead after the first round of the 3M Open, the field is priced at 92% because Kohles has a history of late-round collapses (most recently hitting into water on 18 to lose on Jul 17) and the tournament still has 54 holes with many top players like Scottie Scheffler only three back (Field Level Media, Jul 24). The single biggest recent shift is the market's skepticism of Kohles' lead, as his odds remain low despite the first-round advantage.
2 outcomes
Zimbabwe vs India
India's 93% odds reflect a series win already secured with one match to spare, making the final T20I a dead rubber; the only recent shift is the market pricing in the series outcome after India's dominant 90-run victory in the second T20I (Al Jazeera, Jul 25).
2 outcomes
Mohamed Salah will join PSG by September 1, 2026
Liverpool are actively blocking a PSG move for Mohamed Salah by pursuing his replacement and even bidding for a PSG target, making a transfer highly unlikely despite persistent rumors.
Yes ≈ 5% chance
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend — Match Winner
Despite Bilibili Gaming being the stronger team on paper, the odds have shifted significantly toward Anyone's Legend over the past week, likely driven by recency bias from other sports results rather than LoL-specific news.
Yes ≈ 53% chance