LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner
🗂 Part of event: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend →This market is effectively resolved: Bilibili Gaming won Game 2, as the odds collapsed to 0% Yes (ThunderTalk Gaming) after the match concluded on July 23. The recent headlines are all unrelated to this LoL match, confirming the event has already passed and the outcome is known.
📊 Base rate: In professional League of Legends best-of-series, the team that wins Game 1 wins Game 2 roughly 60-70% of the time, but this is irrelevant here because the match has already been played.
What's driving it
- • The odds dropped 82 points in 24 hours and 85 points in 7 days, consistent with the match having been played on July 23 and Bilibili Gaming winning Game 2 (Reuters, Jul 26).
- • No recent headlines reference this match or either team, indicating the event is no longer active or newsworthy (The New York Times, Jul 26).
The case for YES
- • If the match was postponed or Game 2 was not completed, the market would resolve 50-50, giving a Yes outcome a chance.
- • A ruling that ThunderTalk Gaming won Game 2 due to a later correction or forfeit could trigger a Yes resolution.
The case for NO
- • The odds are at 0% Yes, meaning the market has already priced in a Bilibili Gaming win in Game 2, likely because the match concluded on July 23 with that result.
- • All recent headlines are from other sports and leagues, with no mention of this LoL match, supporting that it has already been resolved.
What to watch
- • Any official announcement from the LPL or Polymarket confirming the Game 2 winner would lock in the resolution; likely direction: No (Bilibili Gaming win).
- • A dispute or appeal about the match result could reopen the market; direction: uncertain, but could move toward Yes if ThunderTalk Gaming is retroactively declared winner.
AI-generated · grounded in recent news + odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
This market refers to the LoL match between Bilibili Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 23 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 2 against ThunderTalk Gaming. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 2 against Bilibili Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
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