Will the New York Mets win more than 89.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

🗂 Part of event: MLB: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals →

2¢Yes

2% 6 pts all-time

Yes

2¢

99¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 2% chance — almost no chance.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 2% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesOct 5, 2026 · 2mo

Total volume$354

Liquidity

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How it resolves

Optimistic oracleSettled by UMA's optimistic oracle

Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.

⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.

Closes Oct 5, 2026 (2mo)

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "O 89.5" if the New York Mets win more than 89.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the New York Mets to record more than 89.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 89.5". If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Polymarket ↗