Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 91% chance — very likely.
Across venues
· updated 4hPredictPal ConsensusThe same question trades on 2 venues. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
The prediction markets collectively imply about 89% confidence that Marine Le Pen will be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election. The slight disagreement between Polymarket (89%) and Manifold (91%) likely reflects the difference between real-money and play-money trading.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 91% right now.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗