Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices)
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Other at about a 53% chance — a coin toss.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Do we really need another market for this topic? Maybe! Multiple choice questions with lots of answers are awkward; this one will aim to have few answers rather than being all-inclusive. These seem to be the major other markets for this question: @/Tetraspace/who-will-be-elected-president-in-20 @/goldenes56/who-will-be-elected-president-in-th-6ecda2cc8128@/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj @/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a If any option (including other) is trading in the top 3, or >20%, in either of those markets for at least 48 hours, I'll add it to this one (please feel encouraged to point out if this is happening!).
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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