Will "An analysis of AI-generated content at the Me..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
19¢Yes
19% 0 pts all-time
Yes
19¢
No
81¢
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 19% chance — unlikely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 19% right now.
StatusOpen
ClosesFeb 1, 2028 · 1y
Total volumeⱮ150
Liquidity
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Discussion
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Feb 1, 2028 (1y)
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗