Whose full self driving technology will I be able to order a robotaxi from first in Corvallis, Oregon?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Telsa at about a 37% chance.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
As a proxy for who wins the self-driving race. I must be able to order a ride between almost any two places in Corvallis, where the car shows up by itself and drives me to my destination with no human intervention. If a company supports Corvallis without supporting any other similarly small cities, I will be mad.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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