Will "The LLM shoggoth meme is weirder than you think" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
15¢Yes
15% 0 pts all-time
Yes
15¢
No
85¢
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 15% chance — unlikely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 15% right now.
StatusOpen
ClosesFeb 1, 2028 · 1y
Total volumeⱮ75
Liquidity
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Discussion
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Feb 1, 2028 (1y)
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗