Who will be elected mayor of Toronto in 2026?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Olivia Chow at about a 72% chance — likely.
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Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Canada's largest city, Toronto, will hold a mayoral election on 26 October 2026. The current mayor, Olivia Chow, is reportedly going to seek a second term as mayor (CBC). This question resolves YES to the named individual who wins Toronto's mayoral election in 2026, and NO to everyone else. Who will be elected mayor of Toronto in 2026? Feel free to add answers. See also: (https://manifold.markets/embed/cash/will-olivia-chow-be-reelected-mayor)
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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