Who will win the King of the Mountains / Polka-dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour de France?
99¢Richard Carapaz
Price history builds as this market trades.
No price history yet
Richard Carapaz99%
Tadej Pogacar0%
Other0%
Lenny Martinez0%
Jonas Vingegaard0%
Valentin Paret-Peintre0%
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Richard Carapaz at about a 99% chance — almost certain.
StatusOpen
ClosesJul 26, 2026 · 14h
Total volumeⱮ18.1K
24h volumeⱮ7.3K
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Jul 26, 2026 (14h)
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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