When will bitcoin drop below $56789? (which day?)
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Before the end of May 1, 2024 at about a 100% chance — almost certain.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Resolve according to https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/historical-data/ (I believe coinmarketcap use UTC time zone) Resoles Yes if bitcoin price has dropped below $56789 before a certain date ends *Traders familiar with my market will know that I usually use Yahoo Finance historical price for resolution source. However, I've noticed occasional delays where it takes over a day for Yahoo Finance to update the end-of-day prices. To ensure clear resolution of this daily market, I've decided to use Coinmarketcap data instead.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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5 outcomes