Which people will be elected U.S. president before 2033?
100¢Donald Trump
0%
No price history yet
Donald Trump100%
J.D. Vance28%
Marco Rubio15%
Gavin Newsom10%
Gretchen Whitmer8%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez7%
8 more21%
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Donald Trump at about a 100% chance — almost certain.
StatusResolved
ClosedJan 1, 2033
Total volumeⱮ13.2K
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Jan 1, 2033 (6y)
Resolution criteria
Unlinked free response. Resolves to all people who are elected president before 2033. Becoming president by other means does not count.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗