Manchester United to sign Rafael Leao by September 1, 2026

✨ Liverpool are actively blocking a PSG move for Mohamed Salah by pursuing his replacement and even bidding for a PSG target, making a transfer highly unlikely despite persistent rumors.

Yes ≈ 5% chance

✨ Despite Ben Kohles holding a two-shot lead after the first round of the 3M Open, the field is priced at 92% because Kohles has a history of late-round collapses (most recently hitting into water on 18 to lose on Jul 17) and the tournament still has 54 holes with many top players like Scottie Scheffler only three back (Field Level Media, Jul 24). The single biggest recent shift is the market's skepticism of Kohles' lead, as his odds remain low despite the first-round advantage.

✨ The field is extremely open, with The Field at 98% reflecting the reality that in any given PGA Tour event, an individual golfer like Mackenzie Hughes faces overwhelming odds against a deep pool of competitors, and the recent headlines show Hughes is a fringe contender rather than a dominant force.