Will Darline Graham Nordone receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
🗂 Part of event: South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: Darline Graham vote percent (1st Round) →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 17% chance — unlikely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 17% right now.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darline Graham Nordone in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗