Turkish presidential election winner?
🗂 Part of event: Turkish presidential election winner? →58¢Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
54% 0 pts all-time
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan58%
Ekrem İmamoğlu15%
Ahmet Davutoğlu11%
Mansur Yavaş6%
Sinan Oğan5%
Ümit Özdağ4%
4 more11%
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan at about a 58% chance — more likely than not.
StatusOpen
ClosesMay 7, 2030 · 3y
Total volume$15.7K
ListedJul 8, 2026
SourceView on Kalshi ↗
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
optional stance
Loading…
How it resolves
Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Closes May 7, 2030 (3y)
Resolution criteria
Next presidential election
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗