Will Zohran Mamdani be Time Person of the Year in 2026?
🗂 Part of event: Time's Person of the Year for 2026 →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 28% chance — unlikely.
Across venues
· updated 1hPredictPal ConsensusThe same question trades on 2 venues. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
The two prediction markets collectively suggest about a 30% chance that Zohran Mamdani will be Time Person of the Year in 2026, with a small difference likely due to different user bases.
Informational only · play-money venues count less in the blend. Tap a venue to compare.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 28% right now.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
If Zohran Mamdani is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
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