Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Tour de France?

🗂 Part of event: Tour de France Winner →

99¢Yes

Price history builds as this market trades.

No price history yet

Yes

99¢

1¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 99% chance — almost certain.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 99% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesAug 9, 2026 · 14d

Total volume$385K

24h volume$19K

Open interest$198K

Listed

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Aug 9, 2026 (14d)

Resolution criteria

If Tadej Pogacar wins the 2026 Tour de France Cycling Grand Tour originally scheduled from Jul 4, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗