Will Pablo Castrillo win the 2026 Tour de France?
🗂 Part of event: Tour de France Winner →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 1% chance — almost no chance.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 1% right now.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
If Pablo Castrillo wins the 2026 Tour de France Cycling Grand Tour originally scheduled from Jul 4, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
Which player will win the 2026 PDC World Matchplay?
10 outcomes
Mohamed Salah will join PSG by September 1, 2026
Yes ≈ 5% chance
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Yes ≈ 100% chance