Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

✨ Despite speculation about a Trump pardon for Andrew Tate, the White House has publicly stated it will not intervene in his extradition to the UK, and Tate remains in federal custody with serious charges, making a pardon highly unlikely.

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Yes ≈ 29% chance

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Yes ≈ 16% chance

✨ The 12% Yes odds reflect a market that sees Shkreli as an unlikely pardon recipient despite a broad White House pardon review, because Trump has shown no personal interest and Shkreli remains a deeply unpopular figure with ongoing financial and legal troubles.

Yes ≈ 11% chance

✨ The market heavily discounts a Trump pardon for Maduro, reflecting ongoing US legal action and a failed deportation effort, but the slim Yes odds capture the possibility of a diplomatic or business-driven reversal.

Yes ≈ 4% chance