Will legislation that designates June 14, the birthday of President Donald J. Trump, as a legal public holiday for federal employees become law before Jan 1, 2027?

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Across venues

· updated 4hPredictPal Consensus

4%blended Yes · 2 venuesMedium reliability

The same question trades on 2 venues. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.

Across prediction markets, the collective chance that this law will

Kalshi

$21.2K vol4%

Manifold· PlayPlay money

Ɱ589 vol5%

Informational only · play-money venues count less in the blend. Tap a venue to compare.

How each venue’s Yes has moved

Consensus is a liquidity-weighted blend of each venue’s Yes probability (play-money venues count less). Informational only — PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.