The same question trades on 2 venues — prices range 6%–50%. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
Across prediction markets, the average chance of Trump pardoning himself before 2027 is about 8%, but one play-money market shows a much higher 50%, likely because it uses fake currency and attracts different participants.
Informational only · play-money venues count less in the blend. Tap a venue to compare.
How each venue’s Yes has moved
Consensus is a liquidity-weighted blend of each venue’s Yes probability (play-money venues count less). Informational only — PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.