The same question trades on 2 venues. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
Prediction markets collectively imply about a 90% chance that there will be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026, with near-perfect agreement between the two venues.
Informational only · play-money venues count less in the blend. Tap a venue to compare.
How each venue’s Yes has moved
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Consensus is a liquidity-weighted blend of each venue’s Yes probability (play-money venues count less). Informational only — PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.