The same question trades on 2 venues. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
Prediction markets give roughly a 5% chance that Javier Milei will leave office as President of Argentina before 2027, with a small difference between a real-money site and a play-money one (likely due to differing audience incentives).
Informational only · play-money venues count less in the blend. Tap a venue to compare.
How each venue’s Yes has moved
Consensus is a liquidity-weighted blend of each venue’s Yes probability (play-money venues count less). Informational only — PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.