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Culture prediction markets & live odds — page 9 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Culture prediction markets

Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.

🔭 Compare culture odds across venues →

All Film & TV 471 Music 219 Awards 160 Celebrity 76 Years 14 Spider-Man 10 Billion 8 Person 5 Black Panther Casting 3 Candidate 1

447 markets · page 9 of 19

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a streaming series not from HBO win Best Drama Series at the 2026 Emmys?

Yes67¢

No33¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

Ɱ96 Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…7891011…19Next ›

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? — Elsinore

Yes39¢

No61¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

$1.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will repligate/janus win a turing award

Yes9¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ230 Vol▲ 0pts18y

Kalshi

Open

Dune: Part Three

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

$2.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations? — Matt Damon

Yes88¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 88% chance

$20.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any Oscar winners be confirmed cryopreserved before 2027?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ170 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

The Black Ball

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

$2.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Focus Features win Best Picture before April 1st 2031? Currently they have the most Oscar nominations without a win

Yes80¢

No20¢

Yes ≈ 80% chance

Ɱ63 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Kalshi

Open

Emmy winner: Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

Katherine LaNasa75¢

8 outcomes

$9.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Mario Kart World MEGAMARKET

It will be nominated for at least one award at the Game Awards 2025100¢

39 outcomes

Ɱ7.4K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

How many Emmys will 'Hacks' win?

Exactly 420¢

24 outcomes

$84.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Geoff Keighley exposes himself to Miss Piggy on stage at the Game Awards.

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ465 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

How many Emmys will 'Beef' win?

Exactly 319¢

16 outcomes

$14.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations? — Tom Cruise

Yes72¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

$15.6K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Kevin Hart host the Oscars before 2031?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ66 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Kalshi

Open

Will Oscar Isaac be casted in the next Miami Vice?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$226 Vol▲ 0pts8y

Manifold· Play

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Will "Michael" receive any Oscar nominations?

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

Ɱ1.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Emmy winner: Outstanding Television Movie

The field is extremely concentrated, with Remarkably Bright Creatures at 89% dominating, and the only notable shift is that Heads of State rose from below 1% to 5% after its Emmy nomination was announced (India Today, Jul 10), but it remains a distant second.

Remarkably Bright Creatures91¢

6 outcomes

$4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

A Nobel prize in medicine award statement mentions Parkinson's disease before 2037

Yes54¢

No46¢

Yes ≈ 54% chance

Ɱ40 Vol▲ 0pts10y

Kalshi

Open

Latin Grammy Awards: Album of the Year

LUX66¢

7 outcomes

$180 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations? — Adam Driver

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$3.6K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Sam Altman win a Darwin Award by EOY 2040?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ534 Vol▲ 0pts14y

Kalshi

Open

2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations? — Adam Scott

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

$767 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Ralph Fiennes win the Academy Award Oscar for for Best Actor by the end of 2029?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ189 Vol▲ 0pts3y