Awards, entertainment, and pop-culture questions, aggregated across every venue.
708 markets · page 29 of 30
Yes ≈ 54% chance
Yes ≈ 30% chance
Yes ≈ 35% chance
Yes ≈ 37% chance
Yes ≈ 76% chance
Yes ≈ 48% chance
Yes ≈ 8% chance
Yes ≈ 8% chance
Yes ≈ 92% chance
Yes ≈ 12% chance
Yes ≈ 20% chance
Yes ≈ 56% chance
Yes ≈ 64% chance
Yes ≈ 63% chance
Yes ≈ 72% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance
J.J. Abrams has not directed a movie since 2019 and recently downsized his production company, but the market still assigns 89% probability that he will direct at least one film before the 2020s end, likely betting on a smaller-scale or streaming project.
Yes ≈ 89% chance
Yes ≈ 69% chance
The market sees a 59% chance that George R.R. Martin finishes The Winds of Winter before his death, reflecting modest optimism from his renewed public commitment and a recent progress timeline, but the long history of delays and his age keep the odds below 60%.
Yes ≈ 59% chance
Yes ≈ 28% chance
Yes ≈ 35% chance